Currency Depreciation vs Devaluation
Notes
- Depreciation is a fall in the value of a currency in a floating or market-determined exchange rate system, caused by market forces (demand and supply).
- Devaluation is a deliberate downward adjustment of the official exchange rate by the government or central bank under a fixed or pegged system.
- The opposites are appreciation (market-driven rise) and revaluation (a deliberate rise).
Basis | Depreciation | Devaluation |
|---|---|---|
Regime | Floating or managed float | Fixed or pegged |
Cause | Market forces | Government or central bank decision |
Nature | Gradual | Sudden and official |
Control | Market-determined | Policy decision |
India's devaluations
- 1949: with the pound sterling (about 30%); 1966: the rupee was cut from ₹4.76 to ₹7.50 per dollar (about 57%) under Indira Gandhi, after wars, drought and pressure on the balance of payments; July 1991: a two-step devaluation of about 18-19% as part of the reforms.
Effects
- Exports become cheaper and imports dearer; it can narrow the trade deficit and promote import substitution; it raises imported inflation; the rupee value of external debt rises; and it can trigger capital flight and retaliation.
- Marshall-Lerner condition: devaluation improves the trade balance only if the sum of the price elasticities of demand for exports and imports exceeds 1.
- J-curve effect: the trade balance first worsens and then improves, because trade volumes adjust slowly.
- Competitive devaluation (a currency war): countries weaken their currencies to gain exports; it can trigger retaliation.
Related: the 1997 Asian financial crisis (the Thai baht float) and China's August 2015 devaluation of the yuan fix.
Key Points
- Depreciation: market-driven fall; devaluation: official, deliberate cut under a fixed rate.
- India devalued in 1949, 1966 and 1991.
- Marshall-Lerner condition: sum of elasticities greater than 1.
- J-curve: the trade balance worsens before it improves.
- Weak currency raises import costs and external debt burden.
MCQs
Q1. Devaluation differs from depreciation because devaluation is: (a) Market-driven (b) A deliberate official decision under a fixed exchange rate (c) Always temporary (d) An appreciation Ans: (b).
Q2. The Marshall-Lerner condition says devaluation improves the trade balance if: (a) The sum of export and import demand elasticities is greater than 1 (b) Exports exceed imports (c) Inflation is low (d) Interest rates are high Ans: (a).
Q3. The rupee was devalued by about 57% in: (a) 1949 (b) 1966 (c) 1991 (d) 2013 Ans: (b).